Texas Pacific Land

TPL

Market cap $20.9B

My portfolio remains highly concentrated, with core positions in Comfort Systems, LandBridge, Texas Pacific Land, and defense stocks. Among others, I focus on three main investment theses: energy/water royalties, data center buildout, and defense modernization, all supported by secular tailwinds. In light of recent underperformance due to energy weakness and tariffs, I plan to use market dips to add to cyclical and infrastructure holdings.

DALLAS--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Texas Pacific Land Corporation (NYSE: TPL) (the “Company”) announced today that the Company will release third quarter 2025 financial results after the market closes on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. A conference call will be held on Thursday, November 6, 2025 at 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Webcast: A webcast of the conference call will be available on the Investors section of the Company's website at www.texaspacific.com. To listen to the live broadcast, go to the site at l.

Texas Pacific Land (TPL) leverages vast Permian Basin landholdings, generating revenue from oil royalties, land management, and expanding water services. TPL's asset-light model yields high profitability and free cash flow, but current valuation metrics show a premium far above industry peers. Growth in water services and potential renewable energy leasing offer future upside, though Permian oil production growth is slowing.

Texas Pacific Land owns more than 880,000 acres in the Permian, securing steady royalty income regardless of who operates production. Its asset-light model allows EBITDA margin above 85% and net margin above 70%, with no meaningful debt. Beyond royalties, it builds value from surface leases (pipelines, infrastructure, data centers) that generate recurring income.

Energy stocks offer compelling value due to low sector valuations, supply constraints, and long-term demand growth, making the sector highly attractive for investors. OPEC+ spare capacity is dwindling, U.S. shale investment is declining, and political risks are curbing new supply, setting up a bullish environment for oil prices. Key investment ideas include Canadian oil sands, Permian Basin producers, and royalty/landowner companies, with a positive outlook for select natural gas and service firms.

I had a personal Eureka moment (a very mild one) that helped me simplify how I spot companies where demand far exceeds supply. Focusing on high-demand, short-supply sectors reveals opportunities in the biggest market disruptions in decades. My strategy targets mission-critical companies poised for long-term growth without chasing fleeting trends.

I focus on big, long-term trends and dedicate energy to sectors with tremendous value, even if they're temporarily out of favor. Earlier this year, defense contractors were extremely undervalued, but patient investors have since been rewarded as the market recognized their strengths. My investment style emphasizes patience and thesis-driven investing, which isn't for everyone. Index fund investors should stick to consistency and diversification.

AI is transforming markets faster than most people realize. Ignoring it could mean missing once-in-a-generation opportunities. I see energy, water, and infrastructure coming together in ways few are paying attention to, potentially creating a powerful growth story. Momentum is building, and the thesis I've been focused on is unfolding now. I believe its long-term potential is hard to overstate.

I see a paradigm shift: policymakers now prioritize growth over inflation control, targeting 4% inflation and high-single digit GDP growth, reshaping markets. My thesis, born post-pandemic, notes vanishing low-inflation tailwinds. Sticky prices and core services inflation signal a new, tougher inflation regime. I'm betting on cyclical growth, positioning my portfolio for a potential upswing. Green shoots in manufacturing suggest a recovery, promising potentially big gains.

On the second-to-last trading day of the week, investors cheered the latest move made by Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL 3.42%). The storied company's stock is going to anchor a new regional equities exchange, and market players cheered the expansion.