Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

TMV

Market cap $167M

Stanley Druckenmiller's bet against America's debt is no ordinary trade.

May's inflation data could bring Treasury bulls back into the fray. If the Fed has the signal they need to start easing monetary policy, then it could bring up the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TMF) and the Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TYD).

TMV offers a high-risk, high-reward way to speculate on rising long-term Treasury yields, but is only suitable for short-term, event-driven trades. Concerns about the USD's reserve currency status, driven by isolationism policy, could pressure long-duration Treasuries. Leveraged ETFs like TMV suffer from value erosion and compounding risk, making them unsuitable for buy-and-hold investors or those unfamiliar with their mechanics.

Tariffs are roiling the major stock market indexes with volatility. So investors have been pouring into bonds to escape the turmoil.

Inflation appears to be stubborn and persistent. That's providing entry points for three Direxion inverse ETFs for traders looking to capitalize on rising yields.

These ETF strategies may safeguard your portfolio amid rising treasury yields.

The spike in yields has led to a surge in ETFs that bet against U.S. Treasury bonds.

TMV offers leveraged inverse exposure to long-term Treasury bonds, aiming for three times the opposite daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. The fund's 3x leverage allows for significant short-term gains, but also magnifies losses and requires hands-on management due to volatility decay. TMV is a potential hedging tool for those with large long positions in Treasury bonds, but its high expense ratio and complex structure are drawbacks.

Initially rated Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares a 'Buy' in 2022, yielding 65% and 51% returns since commentaries, but downgraded to 'Hold' in 2023 due to time decay risks. Leveraged funds like TMV suffer from significant time decay in consolidating markets, requiring active trading rather than holding. TBF's recent MACD buy signal and golden cross indicate an upcoming bullish trend, prompting an upgrade of TMV back to 'Buy'.

With the path to rate cuts clearer, Treasury bonds have been heading higher since the start of the summer, but they've taken a turn. The return of rising yields have been putting the Direxion Daily 20+ Yr Trsy Bear 3X ETF (TMV) and the Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TYO) back into positive territory.