Rithm Capital

RITM

Market cap $6.37B

Rithm Capital is executing a strategic transformation from a mortgage REIT to an alternative asset manager to unlock higher valuation. Recent acquisitions of Crestline Management and Paramount Group, along with new fund launches, are rapidly scaling RITM's asset management segment. A multi-year roadmap envisions integrating acquisitions, launching new REITs, and ultimately separating the mortgage origination and servicing business.

Rithm (RITM) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price.

Rithm Capital Corp. offers a well-covered 9% dividend yield, trading at a 14% discount to its $12.83 book value. RITM's portfolio focuses on mortgage servicing rights but is diversifying into asset management and office real estate for more stable, fee-driven income. The REIT boasts a dividend coverage ratio above 2.0x, consistent earnings, and recent acquisitions that support long-term growth and reduced earnings volatility.

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- #creditratingagency--KBRA assigns preliminary ratings to 10 classes of mortgage-backed notes from New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-NQM6 (NRMLT 2025-NQM6), a $494.4 million non-prime RMBS transaction sponsored by Rithm Capital Corp. (formerly New Residential Investment Corp.), a publicly traded (NYSE: RITM) real estate investment trust (REIT). The underlying mortgages in the subject pool were primarily originated by Champions Funding, LLC (36.0%) and NewRez LLC (34.9%). In addition.

Several catalysts have emerged for Rithm Capital Corp. both in terms of macroeconomic parameters and also company financials. They include a steepening yield curve, upward EPS revisions for Q4, Crestline and Paramount acquisitions, and implied volatilities, or IV. In particular, the IV underlying RITM's options are relatively low by historical standard.

Rithm Capital is undergoing a major transformation, acquiring Crestline and Paramount to pivot from a mortgage REIT to a global alternative asset manager. RITM delivered strong Q3 results, beating estimates, growing revenue by 78.5% YoY, and maintaining a 9%+ dividend yield while trading at a 14% discount to book value. The acquisitions expand RITM's asset management platform, diversify revenue streams, and position RITM for a potential market rerating similar to peers like OWL and TPG.

Rithm Capital pivoted its corporate strategy from optimizing capital (reducing costs by redeeming the expensive Series A preferred stock) to aggressive expansion via significant acquisitions. RITM announced two major acquisitions in September 2025: Crestline Management (an alternative asset manager) and Paramount Group (a commercial real estate investment trust). To fund the expansion, Rithm issued a new series of preferred shares (Series E), signaling a shift from repaying to raising capital.

The average of price targets set by Wall Street analysts indicates a potential upside of 27.7% in Rithm (RITM). While the effectiveness of this highly sought-after metric is questionable, the positive trend in earnings estimate revisions might translate into an upside in the stock.

Rithm Capital is paying out a 9.1% dividend yield that was covered by around 216% from third-quarter earnings available for distribution. Book value per share expanded by 12 cents sequentially and should move higher as RITM closes on its recent acquisitions. The mREIT is trading for 85 cents on the dollar, as AUM is set to grow and as Manhattan's office vacancy dipped by 400 basis points to 12.8% in October.