ProShares Short QQQ

PSQ

Market cap $532M

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Key Points in This Article: Inverse ETFs are investment vehicles designed to deliver daily returns opposite to a specific index, using derivatives like futures to hedge against market declines or capitalize on bearish trends.

PSQ is designed for short-term hedging against Nasdaq-100 declines, not for medium- or long-term investment due to negative compounding effects. Key macro indicators—Buffett Indicator, Treasury yields, DXY, Bitcoin, consumer sentiment, and macro uncertainty—signal when PSQ may be attractive for tactical hedging. Currently, I see no immediate catalysts for a Nasdaq-100 correction, so I do not recommend buying PSQ at this time.

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The SH and PSQ ETFs provide simple inverse exposure to major U.S. market indexes.

Inverse index ETFs like ProShares Short S&P 500 and ProShares Short Nasdaq-100 can effectively hedge portfolios during market downturns, enhancing long-term returns. Manual technical analysis and proprietary quantitative models can guide strategic use of inverse ETFs, providing protection and potential gains in volatile markets. In bull markets, consider inverse ETFs as short-term hedges. In bear markets, consider reversing the strategy to generate gains from inverse ETFs as long-term positions.

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The deteriorating global business environment and overbought tech sector present a strong opportunity to bet against the Nasdaq via the PSQ ETF. The PSQ ETF is an inverse, non-leveraged option, making it a safer bet, but timing is crucial to avoid permanent losses. Multiple trigger factors, including economic slowdowns in China and the EU, and a global tech split, justify moving from a hold to a buy.

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U.S. tax policy changes, including taxing unrealized gains, could significantly impact the stock market, especially technology stocks, and retirement accounts. Vice President Harris proposes tax credits and higher taxes on the wealthy, while former President Trump suggests tax cuts and increased fossil fuel production. Taxing unrealized gains may force wealthy individuals to sell stock holdings, potentially causing market declines and affecting all investors.