Mach Natural Resources

MNR

Market cap $1.85B

Faced with excess supply that is likely to carry over into the new year, crude oil prices are likely to continue to struggle in 2026. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects the supply glut to persist through 2026, which should, in turn, put downward pressure on oil prices—crude oil could fall to $55 per barrel on average for the first quarter.

Mach Natural Resources is reaffirmed as a BUY, trading below PV-10 value after recent acquisitions and a 5% share price decline. MNR's portfolio now leans heavily into natural gas, with Q4 production projected to rise 60% and 2026 guidance targeting 71% gas weighting. Distributions are expected to rebound to $0.40-$0.45/unit quarterly, offering a 13%-14.5% yield, but remain exposed to commodity price and weather volatility.

Mach reported Q3 2025 results in line with expectations. It declared a relatively low $0.27 per unit distribution, but that was affected by temporary items. Mach also tweaked its 2026 guidance to reduce its D&C capex by $63 million and its total capex by $38 million. This has a minor effect on its expected production. Mach is now projected to generate $1.94 per unit in 2026 distributable cash flow at high-$50s WTI oil and slightly above $4 NYMEX natural gas.

Mach Natural Resources LP ( MNR ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 7, 2025 10:00 AM EST Company Participants Tom Ward - CEO & Director of Mach Natural Resources GP LLC Kevin White - Chief Financial Officer of Mach Natural Resources GP LLC Conference Call Participants Neal Dingmann - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division Charles Meade - Johnson Rice & Company, L.L.C.

Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.44 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.34 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.7 per share a year ago.

OKLAHOMA CITY--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Mach Natural Resources LP (NYSE: MNR) (“Mach” or the “Company”) today reported financial and operating results for the three months ended September 30, 2025. The Company also announced its quarterly cash distribution and updated its full-year 2026 outlook. Third Quarter 2025 Highlights Averaged total net production of 94.0 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (“Mboe/d”) Lease operating expense of $6.82 per barrel of oil equivalent (“Boe”) Reported net losse.

OKLAHOMA CITY--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Mach Natural Resources LP (NYSE: MNR) (“Mach” or the “Company”) announced today that it will report third quarter 2025 results on Thursday, November 6, 2025, after the close of trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The third quarter 2025 earnings release will be available on the Company's website at www.ir.machnr.com. The Company will host a conference call to discuss its financial and operating results at 9:00 a.m. Central (10:00 a.m. Eastern) on Friday, Novem.

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