Golub Capital BDC

GBDC

Market cap $3.75B

Top ten large-cap value 'GASV dogs' offer projected average net gains of 46.31% by November 2026, with yields from 8.09% to 11.74%. Seventeen of twenty-seven 'safer' lowest-priced GASV stocks are currently buyable, meeting strict dividend and price criteria for fair value. Analyst targets suggest the five lowest-priced, highest-yield GASV stocks could deliver 6.86% higher gains than the top ten as a group.

GBDC remains a 'hold' due to strong credit quality but rising risk of a dividend cut amid declining net investment income. GBDC's portfolio is highly sensitive to falling interest rates, leading to a 17% year-over-year decline in net investment income and just 100% dividend coverage. Despite a discounted valuation (P/BV 0.92x) and healthy portfolio quality, lower yields and spreads threaten future dividend sustainability.

There is a major market disconnect in which there are blue-chip dividend payers offering 11%+ yields right now, despite posting strong fundamentals. I discuss why the market is bearish on these stocks and why I think the fears are overblown. I also share two high-yield stocks that I think are attractive buys at current pricing.

Golub Capital BDC ( GBDC ) Q4 2025 Earnings Call November 19, 2025 10:00 AM EST Company Participants David B. Golub - CEO & Director Tim Topicz Christopher Ericson - CFO & Treasurer Conference Call Participants Jordan Wathen - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Robert Dodd - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division Presentation Operator Hello, everyone, and welcome to GBDC's earnings call for the fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended September 30, 2025.

Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.39 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate . This compares to earnings of $0.47 per share a year ago.

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Golub Capital BDC, Inc., a business development company (Nasdaq: GBDC), today announced its financial results for its fourth fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2025. Except where the context suggests otherwise, the terms “we,” “us,” “our,” and “Company” refer to Golub Capital BDC, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries. “GC Advisors” refers to GC Advisors LLC, our investment adviser. SELECTED FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS               (in thousands, except per share data)    .

The Fed's dovishness has been the key driver for the BDC sell-off. The idea is that lower interest rates should lead to lower dividends (i.e., BDCs cutting their dividend across the board). While it is a process that takes time, the current data show that many BDCs are well-positioned to safeguard their existing dividends.

BDCs have been clearly out of favor this year. Yet, there are some clear pockets of opportunity, which have started to showcase a nice momentum - just as I outlined in my recent BDC strategic piece. It does not mean, however, that all deep-discount BDCs will recover.

Dividends matter. So do losses. Look at a couple of charts and call it a day. Most people don't want to go through all the history, but we can sum up over a decade in a few images. When we compare prices and book value over time, we can see that the huge dividends were not enough. They still are not enough.

My last highest conviction buy - Gold, gold miners, and silver - has delivered phenomenal returns for me in recent months and years. I detail why midstream is now my highest conviction buy after the strong bull market in precious metals. I also share some of the best ways investors can gain exposure to midstream today.