Golub Capital BDC

GBDC

Market cap $3.71B

For those who adopt a dividend strategy, having a “thermometer” with which to measure the real performance of our stocks is an immense advantage. This thermometer is NAV, a simple line on a graph that anyone can observe and understand without the need for calculations or interpretations. If it grows over the years, it means that the security earned its distributions: if it goes down, it means that it paid them at the expense of NAV.

The recent sell-off has created rare value in two blue-chip, defensively positioned high-yield names: Golub Capital BDC and Blue Owl Capital. They both now trade at double-digit discounts to NAV with ~12% yields. Here's why I'm rating them strong buys despite near-term headwinds.

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Golub Capital BDC, Inc., a business development company (NASDAQ: GBDC, www.golubcapitalbdc.com), announced today that it will report its financial results for the quarter and the year ended September 30, 2025 on Tuesday, November 18, 2025 after the close of the financial markets. Golub Capital BDC, Inc. will host an earnings conference call at 10:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday, November 19, 2025 to discuss its quarterly financial results. All interested parties m.

Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) is downgraded to a hold due to thin dividend coverage and a downward trending NAV per share. GBDC offers a high 12% dividend yield, but future payouts are at risk if net investment income declines further, especially with more rate cuts. The portfolio remains strong with first lien debt and improving non-accruals, but rising PIK income and higher leverage raise caution.

BDCs have already experienced a notable correction. The sector median P/NAV metric indicates ~12% discount to NAV. Many players are priced even below that.

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our”), a business development company (Nasdaq: GBDC), announced that it has priced an underwritten public offering of an additional $250 million in aggregate principal amount of 7.050% notes due 2028 (the “Notes”). The Notes will mature on December 5, 2028 and may be redeemed in whole or in part at the Company's option at any time prior to November 5, 2028, at par plus a “make-whole” premium, and thereafter at par.

BDCs have two issues: 1) almost no margin of safety for dividend coverage, and 2) depressed earnings outlook. For many players it is just a matter of several quarters before they become forced to cut dividends. Yet, there are many arguments, which negate such a view. Unfortunately, many of them ar myths.

GBDC delivered an as-expected quarter with stable NAV and minor NII outperformance, supporting the safety of its 2025 dividend. The portfolio remains healthy, with non-accruals modestly below sector averages and no new non-accruals this quarter, though credit risk should be monitored. Recent liability restructuring and portfolio growth have stabilized NII, but multiple Fed rate cuts could pressure the dividend in 2026.

BDCs have outperformed over the past half-decade. However, macro and sector conditions are shifting rapidly. This could be the toughest environment BDCs have faced in years.

BofA Securities is the investment banking and capital markets division of Bank of America, one of the largest financial institutions in the United States.