Farmland Partners

FPI

Market cap $424M

2CHYP is our high-yield REIT portfolio containing 15-20 stocks at any given time. Mispricing is common among REITs and serves as a means of capturing excess value. Current opportunities include mispriced REIT preferreds like Pebblebrook Preferred H and undervalued single-family rental REITs such as Invitation Homes.

Farmland Partners remains a HOLD with a reduced price target of $7.50/share, reflecting deepening sector headwinds and operational challenges. FPI faces persistent AFFO declines due to asset sales, rising debt, pressured rents, and heightened credit loss provisions from its farm loan program. US agriculture's margin squeeze, weak commodity prices, and succession risks undermine FPI's rental growth and threaten dividend coverage.

REITs have refused to break in 2026 despite oil-driven inflation pressure, rising Treasury yields, and a Fed narrative that flipped from multiple rate cuts to potential hikes. The “Rates Up, REITs Down” regime has weakened, with REIT-rate correlations falling sharply as fundamentals, strategy, capital allocation, and valuation catalysts increasingly drive performance. M&A has helped break the rate-driven narrative, validating public-market discounts to NAV and proving that REITs can unlock value through consolidation, privatizations, and strategic alternatives.

Surging oil prices and hotter inflation reports reignited rate-hike concerns, sending Treasury yields to one-year highs as the Iran conflict remained stalemated despite the highly anticipated Trump-Xi summit.

Not Every REIT Joined The Rally: Part 2 focuses on laggards and in-line performers - sectors where recovery timelines slipped, results underwhelmed, or elevated rates exposed lingering balance sheet issues. Weakness centered on Farmland, Commercial Mortgage, Lab Space, and Self-Storage REITs, where delayed troughs, credit provisions, book-value pressure, weak rents, and refinancing constraints persisted. Mortgage Stress Hasn't Fully Cleared: Commercial mortgage REITs still faced multifamily bridge-loan and office credit stress, while residential mortgage REITs saw book values pressured by rate volatility and uneven dividend-coverage.

REIT earnings results were considerably better than consensus expectations, with 58 REITs - or 59% - raising full-year FFO guidance, well above the typical Q1 raise rate of 40-45%. REITs have extended their year-to-date outperformance despite the recent jump in interest rates, as better earnings results and improving property-level trends helped offset renewed macro pressure. Upside standouts included Hotel, Senior Housing, Data Center, Billboard, Cold Storage, Net Lease, and Retail REITs. Residential REITs saw improving rent growth trends as supply growth finally eases.

Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Farmland Partners (FPI) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $0.05 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.04 per share. This compares to FFO of $0.05 per share a year ago.

DENVER--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Farmland Partners Inc. (NYSE: FPI) (“FPI” or the “Company”) today reported financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Selected Highlights For the quarter ended March 31, 2026, the Company: recorded net income of $0.6 million, or $0.01 per share available to common stockholders, compared to $2.1 million, or $0.03 per share available to common stockholders for the same period in 2025; recorded AFFO of $2.1 million, or $0.05 per share, compared to $2.3 million.

DENVER--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Farmland Partners Inc. (NYSE: FPI) (the “Company”) today announced it will release its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, after 5 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, and will host a conference call the following day, Thursday, April 30, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. (Eastern Time) to discuss the financial results and provide a company update. The call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing 1-800-715-9871 and using the conference ID 54722.