iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

EWZ

Market cap $9.33B

Brazilian equities (EWZ, FLBR) face a nuanced bull case driven by foreign capital inflows and anticipated interest rate cuts from 15% to 10.5% by 2027. Despite a 53% BRL rally in the Ibovespa, local investors remain cautious due to persistent fiscal risks, political uncertainty, and low equity risk premiums.

This long call on EWZ gives you exposure to Brazil with less money out of pocket.

I am raising iShares MSCI Brazil ETF from hold to buy, citing strong momentum and favorable geopolitical dynamics. EWZ benefits from U.S. national security strategy shifts, anticipated American influence in Brazil's 2026 election, and commodity-driven tailwinds. Despite Brazil's rising debt and political risks, EWZ offers a substantial margin of safety with attractive risk-return, even in a worst-case scenario.

As investors concentrated on political developments and a packed schedule of corporate earnings, Ibovespa futures were trading higher on Thursday, indicating a cautiously optimistic tone in Brazilian markets. The February futures contract was up 0.17% at 182,705 points at 9:07 a.m.

Political and economic tensions, domestic headlines, currency flows and the Federal Reserve have all combined to reignite the “United States vs. international” investing debate.

iShares MSCI Brazil ETF's 2025 rally was driven by global flows, USD weakness, and carry—not by domestic growth or fiscal reform. Even after the re-rating, EWZ remains attractive versus developed markets, with high real carry anchoring the BRL and dividends supporting total returns. The 2026 upside depends less on Brazil “improving” and more on fiscal risk staying contained while global liquidity and political optionality do the work.

Stephanie Link, CIO at Hightower, joins CNBC's "Halftime Report" to detail her latest portfolio moves outside of the U.S.

Brazilian equities posted strong gains on Tuesday, supported by higher oil prices and fresh signs of improving domestic economic activity. According to InfoMoney, the Ibovespa — the benchmark index — advanced sharply after the opening bell.

2025 was a big year for ex-U.S. equities, as a declining dollar, tariff uncertainty, and domestic concentration risk drove investors abroad. Broad ex-U.S. equities performed well and rewarded those investors, but it was some notable subregions that really delivered.

What's driving the bull run in Brazilian stocks is the prospect of change under a new president after the election next October.