Dynex Capital

DX

Market cap $2.77B

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) Shareholder/Analyst Call Prepared Remarks Transcript

More than 1,500 stocks have reported earnings since the current season began in mid-April, and the average stock that has reported has seen an average absolute one-day share price reaction of roughly 7%. The last time we saw earnings vol spike was during the Financial Crisis bear market, when stocks were tanking. This time around, we're seeing earnings vol increase during a strong AI-driven bull market. Tech stocks are seeing record earnings day volatility as investors and traders presumably make snap judgements about AI's future impact on the bottom line.

These shares offer big yields but far more stability than investors expect. Recent market downturns enabled attractive entry points for big yields with capital gains. It's best to prepare for these opportunities in advance. Because we were already evaluating these shares regularly, we were able to jump on opportunities during the big dip.

The Undercovered Dozen series spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks from the past week on Seeking Alpha. This week's edition covers articles published between May 1 and May 7, offering fresh investment ideas. The focus is on stocks that may offer unique opportunities due to limited analyst coverage.

May's top monthly pay dividend equities, led by Grupo Financiero Galicia, offer forecasted net gains up to 76.4% by 2027. Yield-based MoPay stock selection proved 50% accurate against analyst gain forecasts, with average net gain projected at 32.16% and moderate risk. Investors should monitor dividend sustainability, as 43 of 81 MoPay equities exhibit negative free cash flow margins, signaling potential payout risks.

GLEN ALLEN, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Dynex Capital, Inc. (NYSE: DX), a REIT with a long track record of generating dividends from high-quality mortgage assets, announced today that the Company's Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend of $0.17 per share on its Common Stock for May 2026. The dividend is payable on June 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of May 21, 2026. About Dynex Capital Dynex Capital, Inc. (NYSE: DX) is a leading internally managed REIT with a long track record of del.

I highlight three REITs: Gladstone Commercial, Global Net Lease, and Dynex Capital that exhibit elevated risk and 'sucker yields.' GOOD's external management, high payout ratio, and lingering office exposure undermine dividend safety and long-term value. GNL's aggressive M&A, persistent over-leverage, and unsustainable dividend coverage signal ongoing dilution and risk for shareholders.

Dynex Capital remains a 'sell' due to persistent structural deficiencies and chronic underperformance versus market indices. DX pays distributions far exceeding operational returns, relying heavily on continual share issuance to fund payouts. Despite occasional short-term book value growth and yield spikes, long-term book value per share has eroded markedly.

mREITs are turning the corner as the yield curve fixes itself, fueling massive cash flow recovery. NLY's Dividend Safety: With earnings hitting $0.76/share, Annaly comfortably covers its dividend with room for a 2026 hike. DX's Bold Expansion: Dynex "backed up the truck," growing its portfolio by 27% to capture peak mortgage yields.

Dynex Capital preferred shares, specifically DX.PR.C, offer a 9.32% stripped yield and the lowest sector risk rating at 1.5. DX.PR.C's call risk is material. Buying at current prices exposes investors to a potential $0.47 per share loss if called. DX.PR.C boasts strong coverage, with a common equity to preferred liquidation ratio over 15, providing significant downside protection.