Teucrium Sugar Fund

CANE

Market cap $15M

Earlier this year, soybean farmers bore the brunt of Trump's tariff policy when China abruptly slashed their U.S. soybean purchases to zero as the two countries struggled to resolve a trade dispute over rare earth minerals. China was previously the largest single purchaser of American soybeans, and purchased about half of the U.S.' $24.5 billion soybean crop in 2024.

President Donald Trump will announce a $12 billion aid package for U.S. farmers, described as "bridge payments" to smooth the transition away from Biden-era economic policies. Some in America's agriculture industry say they are suffering as a result of Trump's wide-ranging trade war — especially due to conflicts with China, a major U.S. customer.

CANE ETF offers unique, direct exposure to world sugar prices via a portfolio of deferred ICE sugar futures contracts, mitigating roll risk and volatility. CANE is the only dedicated ETF for sugar, providing diversification and access to a key soft commodity without the complexities of futures trading. Key risks include low liquidity, a high expense ratio, complex tax treatment (K-1), and underperformance versus nearby contracts in bull markets.

A seemingly offhand comment by President Donald Trump may have caused more than political rumination; it's now causing turmoil in commodity markets, with impacts for ETF investors.

Before we talk sugar on our technical Monday, here is a reminder of the summary I wrote over the weekend concerning the Economic Modern Family. Summary Update in BOLD SPY and QQQ show no signs of recession and might have bottomed out needing a bit more follow-through SPY GOT FOLLOW-THRU BUT AND NOW BRUSHING THE 50-WMA.

Food prices worldwide continue to rise, hitting an 18-month apex recently. Whether this can translate to higher agricultural commodity prices as a whole remains to be seen.

It might seem like sugar and gold operate as two mutually exclusive commodities that don't have any correlation with one another. However, one market strategist has identified a pattern in the current environment that links the two when juxtaposed.

If this is truly shaping up to be a time for commodities, especially ones undervalued, then let's expand beyond gold and silver. Don't get me wrong.

Per a Finimize report, global food prices climbed higher during the month of September to reach the highest level in the past year and a half according to the United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO). Sugar prices led the pack, opening up opportunities to invest in rising prices or agricultural commodities in general.

Investors have been cheering China's latest efforts to shore up its economy with recent stimulus measures. In turn, this could provide a much-needed spark for agricultural commodities.