Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF

BIV

Market cap $29B

With the potential of more rate cuts to look forward to in 2026, fixed income investors may question how they could attain additional yield in the new year. A Morningstar 2026 Global Outlook Report noted one particular corner of the bond market that could fill the yield void: intermediate bonds.

The Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond Index ETF (BIV) offers stable income and capital appreciation via investment-grade US Treasuries and corporates, focusing on 5–10 year maturities.

As widely expected, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points for a second time this year. This gives fixed income investors an opportunity to reposition their portfolios with intermediate bonds or reconsider active exposure if they don't have it already.

If you are looking to create a portfolio that can provide you with a lifetime of passive income, then you need to look closely at exchange-traded funds (ETFs). They are simple to buy and sell and, more importantly, provide instant diversification.

In a rate-hiking environment the last few years, short-term bonds have been the default exposure option. But as the bond market expects more rate cuts to come after September's drop of 25 basis points, investors may want to consider intermediate bonds as a way to maximize income.

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF offers diversified, investment-grade exposure to the 5–10 year segment of the U.S. bond market at a minimal cost. BIV stands to benefit from an anticipated rate cut, a dovish Fed outlook, and reduced Treasury issuance in its maturity range, supporting bond price appreciation. The ETF provides recurring income, low fees, and relative stability, making it suitable for the defensive side of investor portfolios.

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BIV offers on average around A-rated bonds, with limited credit spread exposure, making it less risky amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Still, credit spreads are historically low, which is concerning given weakening labor market dynamics and potential for higher spreads ahead. BIV's 6-year duration makes it sensitive to rate changes; potential rate cuts could benefit the fund even if labor markets weaken and credit spreads were to drive up YTMs.

BIV's long duration and low credit spreads make it sensitive to rising rates and macro risks, especially with current geopolitical tensions. Short-term rates may stay higher than expected due to higher oil prices that could be sustained by conflict in the Middle East. Long-term risks include US isolationist policies threatening the dollar's reserve status, which could worsen funding conditions and hurt US debt. Markets are clearly thinking about this.

Investors have upped their interest in actively managed bond ETFs, pouring record capital into them in January as some paid up in hopes of stronger returns.