JPMorgan BetaBuilders MSCI US REIT ETF

BBRE

Market cap $923M

After a strong August, REITs faded slightly in September (-0.73%), pulling the REIT sector's year-to-date average total return down to (-1.74%). Mid-cap REITs (-0.92%) averaged the lowest total return in September. Large caps (-0.29%), micro caps (-0.79%), and small caps (-0.83%) averaged modestly smaller declines. Only 37.4% of REIT securities had a positive total return in September.

For nearly five decades, US REITs have delivered stronger returns than broad US stocks in the 12 months following Federal Reserve easing cycles. Rate cuts may increase the attractiveness of REIT dividends, potentially making them a compelling option for investors seeking yield potential and portfolio diversification. Data centers, telecom infrastructure, and health care REITs have historically benefited the most from lower rates due to long-duration leases and capital-intensive models.

U.S. equity markets snapped a four-week winning streak, while benchmark interest rates rose as investors parsed a surprisingly strong slate of economic data, including a two-year high for GDP growth. The Citi Economic Surprise Index has completed a volatile round-trip this month, plunging in early September ahead of the Fed rate decision before rebounding sharply in recent weeks. The recent trend has echoed patterns during the prior Fed easing in late 2024, when mid-year weakness prompted a policy pivot that was subsequently cut short by a late-year economic rebound.

U.S. equity markets notched another series of record highs this past week after the Federal Reserve resumed its rate-cutting cycle following a nine-month pause and affirmed a "cautiously dovish" pivot. The Fed's decision to lower rates by a quarter point to 4.25% carried surprising unity following months of contentious political maneuvering, with all 12 members backing a rate cut. A bit unsettling for policymakers, longer-term yields rose this week, driven primarily by surprisingly solid retail sales and a dip in initial jobless claims that reversed a prior-week surge.

REITs performed very well in August (+5.48%), almost pulling the REIT sector's year-to-date total return back into the black (-1.11%). Small cap (+7.52%) and mid cap REITs (+7.13%) averaged strong gains in August while large caps (+3.16%) and micro caps (+0.87%) averaged more modest returns. 83.87% of REIT securities had a positive total return in August.

U.S. equity markets climbed to fresh record highs this past week after relatively benign inflation data and weak employment data cleared the path for the Fed to resume rate cuts. While CPI and PPI readings continued to show a modest reacceleration in price pressures from their post-pandemic lows earlier this year, both remained "cool enough" to permit a policy pivot. The Fed is widely expected to cut reference rates by 25 basis points to a 4.25% upper bound, which follows a nine-month "pause" since the last reduction last December.

U.S. equity markets pushed higher this past week - while short-term benchmark interest rates plunged to three-year lows - after employment data provided decisive evidence of cooling labor markets. Viewed by markets as a "Goldilocks" set of reports, the reports showed slowing - but still positive - job growth in August alongside consistent evidence of cooling wage pressures and emerging slack. A notable milestone after several years of ultra-tight labor markets, the number of job seekers surpassed the number of available job openings for the first time since April 2021.

U.S. equity markets were little-changed this past week as a tranquil end-of-summer week with status-quo inflation and economic indicators concluded with a jolting post-close tariff headline with highly uncertain implications. An appeals court ruled that the White House exceeded its authority under the Emergency Powers Act - the mechanism used for broad “reciprocal” tariffs - setting up a final Supreme Court showdown. The fresh injection of tariff uncertainty precedes a critical stretch of employment and inflation data and a mid-September Federal Reserve meeting that is increasingly likely to be highly contentious.

After a strong June (+2.56%), the REIT sector recovery stalled in July (-1.17%) as REITs fell to a -6.42% year-to-date return. Micro cap REITs (-0.20%) outperformed in July while mid caps (-1.18%), small caps (-1.33%) and large caps (-1.55%) averaged slightly deeper negative returns. 60.65% of REIT securities had a negative total return in July.

A surprising solid REIT earnings season wrapped up this week. Of the 100 equity REITs that provide full-year FFO guidance, 62% raised their outlook - above the historical 55% average. Disinflation was a surprisingly common thread across second-quarter results, with the majority of the upside revisions being driven by improved expense expectations - the highest quantity of expense reductions ever. Healthcare REITs were notable upside standouts as senior housing fundamentals remained stellar, while skilled nursing REITs received some good news on the policy front via healthy CMS Medicare rate increases.