AGNC Investment Corp Series F

AGNCP

Market cap $500M

REITs have refused to break in 2026 despite oil-driven inflation pressure, rising Treasury yields, and a Fed narrative that flipped from multiple rate cuts to potential hikes. The “Rates Up, REITs Down” regime has weakened, with REIT-rate correlations falling sharply as fundamentals, strategy, capital allocation, and valuation catalysts increasingly drive performance. M&A has helped break the rate-driven narrative, validating public-market discounts to NAV and proving that REITs can unlock value through consolidation, privatizations, and strategic alternatives.

You can read all the published reports on inflation, jobs and guess what the Fed will do next. Or you could collect a rich income stream, no matter where interest rates are headed. We choose the latter, and are cash collectors across market conditions.

Pareto upgrades - swapping into strictly superior securities within the same issuer - can materially improve portfolio yield without increasing risk. Repeated Pareto upgrades raised yield on invested capital from 8.53% to 11.33% in under two years, demonstrating powerful compounding effects. Current actionable opportunity: ABR-D preferred offers an 18 basis point yield advantage over ABR-E with identical upside to par and risk profile.

This article focuses on our recent purchase, our article on the preferred share, and an update. I initiated a small position in AGNCP at a 9.2% stripped yield. Shares of AGNCP recently underperformed the other preferred shares from AGNC. There was a material gap between AGNCN and AGNCP. Today, there's a material gap between AGNCP and AGNCM.

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

U.S. equities surged to record highs as optimism over a potential U.S.-Iran peace deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz drove a risk-on rally, pushing oil sharply lower. Markets rapidly repriced the risk of a prolonged oil shock after the Strait of Hormuz reopened, easing fears of a major energy disruption that could have derailed global growth. Cooler-than-expected PPI data and a solid start to earnings season supported equities, though renewed threats to shipping traffic over the weekend underscored that progress toward de-escalation remains fragile.

Agency MBS carry minimal credit risk, offering a haven during the 2026 geopolitical storm. Like U.S. Treasuries, holdings like DX and AGNC typically rally when the broader market faces stress.​​. Recession Resilience: History shows agency mREITs often lead the recovery during oil-driven economic downturns and market panic.

U.S. equity markets snapped a five-week losing streak this week, while interest rates retreated, as resilient economic data pushed back against stagflation concerns amid a continuation of the Iran conflict. Major equity benchmarks rebounded sharply, with the S&P 500 gaining 3.4% and the Nasdaq 100 rising 4.0%, while real estate stocks outperformed as falling Treasury yields boosted rate-sensitive sectors. Treasury yields declined despite surging oil prices, breaking their recent correlation with crude, as investors weighed solid U.S. employment data against risks that higher energy costs could slow growth abroad.

U.S. equity markets fell for a fifth-straight week— pulling several major benchmarks into correction territory— as the Iran conflict remained locked in a volatile stalemate, keeping energy markets on edge. The fourth week of the Iran conflict delivered little progress toward de-escalation, as Washington maintained strikes on Iranian nuclear sites while Tehran continued retaliatory attacks across the Persian Gulf. The S&P 500 declined 2.1% this week and now sits 8.7% below its late-January record. The Dow and Nasdaq both entered "correction" territory, while the VIX volatility index topped 30.

U.S. equity markets fell for a fourth straight week, while interest rates jumped to eight-month highs, as continued turmoil in the Middle East rattled financial markets and revived inflation concerns. The third week of the Iran conflict settled into an uneasy equilibrium between escalation and de-escalation amid a continued standstill in the Strait of Hormuz, the key global energy chokepoint. The Federal Reserve - long bemoaning tariff-related inflation that failed to materialize - did little to calm markets, delivering a “hawkish hold” that pushed traders to price in rate hikes by year-end.