Signal backtest
Every signal is scored against what followed: whether the price moved 5%, 10%, 15% or 20% in the signal’s direction within two years of opening, how long that took, and the return if simply held.
81% of mega-cap signals reached +20%, against 70% overall. Only 5% of signals are mega caps.
Bullish signals that opened 35–50% below what funds paid reached +20% 78% of the time, against 67% for those 5–15% below.
90% of signals reached +5% at some point, but the median bullish signal was +9.1% two years after opening, and the median bearish one +0.8%.
3,961 signals opened in the last 12 months · all sizes · 5–15% from what funds paid
151 signals
Median return if held
334 signals
Median return if held
400 signals
Median return if held
1,001 signals
Median return if held
423 signals
Median return if held
753 signals
Median return if held
619 signals
Median return if held
1,354 signals
Median return if held
961 signals
Median return if held
1,238 signals
Median return if held
711 signals
Median return if held
1,264 signals
Median return if held
52 signals
Median return if held
That’s the record behind every signal.
See the latest signalsA threshold counts as met when the price moved that far in the signal’s direction within two years of opening. Signals opened less than two years ago that haven’t met a threshold yet are open. Profitable or loss is the return two years after opening, for signals that didn’t meet a threshold. Returns if held use each signal’s opening price. Past results do not guarantee future returns.